Bhubaneswar, Oct 18: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a forecast indicating the formation of a low-pressure area over the southeast Bay of Bengal around October 24, 2025, under the influence of an upper air cyclonic circulation currently lying over the south Andaman Sea and adjoining regions.

The system extends up to 1.5 km above mean sea level and is expected to move west-northwestwards, intensifying further over the next 48 hours.

According to IMD, a low-pressure area is likely to develop near October 21, which may gradually strengthen into a depression or even a cyclonic storm depending on atmospheric conditions. The exact trajectory and landfall point of the system will become clearer in the coming days.

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This development comes shortly after the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from Odisha on October 16, a period known for increased cyclone activity in the Bay of Bengal. October is historically considered a cyclone-prone month, and the current environmental setup is conducive for system intensification.

Experts have drawn parallels with past cyclonic events that impacted Odisha during this season, including the 1999 Super Cyclone, Aila (2009), Phailin (2013), Hudhud (2014), Titli (2018), Gulab and Jawad (2021), and Asani (2022). These storms originated under similar post-monsoon conditions and caused significant damage across coastal regions.

The IMD has advised close monitoring of the evolving system and emphasized that further details regarding its strength, direction, and potential landfall will be available in subsequent bulletins.

As the fear of cyclone formation grows, the state government and disaster management teams are expected to remain on standby. The IMD will continue to provide updates as the system develops.