Bhubaneswar, Feb 11: The resounding victory of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the Delhi Assembly elections has sent shockwaves through regional parties across India, particularly Odisha’s Biju Janata Dal (BJD). The party, led by Naveen Patnaik, now finds itself at a crossroads, grappling with growing anxieties about its political future as the BJP continues its aggressive expansion.

The saffron party’s recent electoral successes—first in Odisha, followed by significant victories in Haryana and Maharashtra—have rattled the BJD leadership. The road ahead appears increasingly uncertain for many within the party, with some leaders contemplating a switch to the BJP in search of political security.

The concern among regional parties isn’t limited to Odisha. Across India, regional players have been struggling to maintain their strongholds in the face of the BJP’s relentless march. In Telangana, the Bharat Rashtra Samiti (BRS) suffered a humiliating defeat at the hands of the Congress, signaling the erosion of its once-dominant position. Meanwhile, in Karnataka, the Janata Dal (Secular) (JDS) found itself weakened as the BJP and Congress continued their tug-of-war for supremacy. The Chautalas-led Jannayak Janata Party (JJP), founded seven years ago after a split in the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD), suffered a wipeout in the Haryana Assembly election.

West Bengal’s Mamata Banerjee, a formidable force in state politics, is also feeling the heat as the BJP strengthens its foothold in the region. The political landscape in Maharashtra, too, has undergone a significant transformation. The Shiv Sena faction led by Uddhav Thackeray and the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) under Sharad Pawar suffered crushing defeats, further underscoring the challenges faced by regional forces.

For the BJD, the writing had been on the wall long before the 2024 Odisha Assembly elections. The party’s defeat at the hands of the BJP can be attributed to a governance model that alienated the people. In the early years of its rule, from 2000 to 2012, much of the administration was reportedly controlled by Pyarimohan Mohapatra, a bureaucrat-turned-politician who wielded immense influence. His grip over the government was so tight that it earned the name "Pyari Model" of governance—a one-man show that sidelined democratic processes.

However, Mohapatra’s departure did not bring about a significant shift. Instead, another bureaucrat-turned-political power center emerged—V. Karthikeyan Pandian. The “Pandian Model” further entrenched an authoritarian style of governance, where decision-making remained concentrated in a select few hands rather than being guided by democratic consensus. As a result, public resentment steadily grew. The 2024 elections, which marked the end of Naveen Patnaik’s 24-year rule, were a culmination of years of dissatisfaction, misgovernance, and a disconnect between the party and the people.

Historically, regional parties have emerged as alternatives when national parties failed to meet public expectations. However, the tide appears to have turned, with regional parties now facing similar accusations of inefficiency, corruption, and dynastic politics. The fall of the BJD in Odisha serves as a stark reminder of this shift.

Founded in 1997, the BJD once positioned itself as a champion of Odisha’s development. However, over the years, it has been accused of promoting nepotism, corruption, and undermining democratic institutions. As the BJP continues its strategic political expansion, the BJD must now navigate an uncertain future. The key question remains—can it reimagine its political strategy and adapt to the changing tides, or will it follow the trajectory of other declining regional parties?

The coming months will be crucial in determining whether the BJD can rebuild its image and reassert itself in Odisha’s political landscape or whether the BJP will tighten its grip and reshape the state’s political fabric entirely.

(article by: AK Sahoo, Senior Journalist)

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