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Investment / Gold Prices Drop Sharply After Strong US Jobs Data Cuts Fed Rate Expectations

Patit Mandal
Browse all articles by Patit Mandal
·7 months ago·2 min read
Gold Prices Drop Sharply After Strong US Jobs Data Cuts Fed Rate Expectations

Key Points

  • Gold and silver futures declined sharply after strong US September jobs data reduced expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut.
  • MCX December gold futures fell by Rs 1,067 to Rs 1,21,697 per 10 grams, while silver dropped 2.17% to Rs 1,50,802 per kg.
  • Analysts attribute the fall to a strong US dollar and higher-than-expected nonfarm payroll figures.
New Delhi, Nov 21: Gold prices fell sharply on Friday following stronger-than-anticipated US September jobs data, which diminished market expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate reduction.

Gold futures contracts on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) were firmly in red (as of 12.43 pm) as the December futures dropped by Rs 1,067, or 0.87 per cent, to Rs 1,21,697 per 10 grams.

MCX Silver December contracts dipped 2.17 per cent or Rs 3,349 to Rs 1,50,802 per kg.

The price of 10 grams of 24-carat gold was at Rs 1,22,149, down from Rs 1,22,881 on Thursday, according to data published by the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA).

Analysts said that the dollar index remained strong against its major crosses, sustaining above the 100 mark, which acted as a factor in easing gold prices, apart from adverse jobs data in the US.

"The Labour Department’s closely watched release -- postponed due to the government shutdown -- showed nonfarm payrolls in September rising by 119,000, more than double the projected 50,000 increase, reinforcing the narrative of a resilient labour market," said Manav Modi, analyst–precious metal-research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Market expectations for a December rate have now eased, with traders now pricing in around 30 per cent to 40 per cent probability of a rate cut, as traders weigh remarks from Federal Reserve officials alongside broader economic indicators.

Meanwhile, ongoing developments related to a potential Russia-Ukraine peace agreement are influencing overall market sentiment. Strong physical demand from China and Australia provided support to precious metals through the month.

According to Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd, gold has support at the Rs 1,22,050 to 1,21,480 zone while resistance is at the Rs 1,23,050 to 1,23,700 zone. Silver has support at Rs 1,53,050 to 1,52,350 zone while resistance is at Rs 1,55,140 to 1,55,980 zone.

(IANS)

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